Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.001343 0.001429 0.001517 0.001616 0.001721 0.001832 0.001957
2024-10-27 0.001220 0.001338 0.001463 0.001608 0.001770 0.001945 0.002152
2024-11-03 0.001098 0.001232 0.001379 0.001553 0.001753 0.001978 0.002250
2024-11-10 0.001042 0.001192 0.001362 0.001567 0.001809 0.002089 0.002437
2024-11-17 0.000980 0.001140 0.001324 0.001552 0.001828 0.002153 0.002568
2024-11-24 0.000942 0.001113 0.001313 0.001565 0.001877 0.002253 0.002745
2024-12-01 0.000889 0.001064 0.001272 0.001538 0.001874 0.002287 0.002838
2024-12-08 0.000847 0.001027 0.001243 0.001524 0.001884 0.002335 0.002949
2024-12-15 0.000812 0.000995 0.001218 0.001513 0.001897 0.002385 0.003063
2024-12-22 0.000785 0.000972 0.001203 0.001512 0.001922 0.002451 0.003199
2024-12-29 0.000754 0.000943 0.001179 0.001499 0.001928 0.002491 0.003301
2025-01-05 0.000729 0.000920 0.001162 0.001493 0.001944 0.002544 0.003422
2025-01-12 0.000692 0.000882 0.001125 0.001463 0.001929 0.002561 0.003501
2025-01-19 0.000667 0.000859 0.001107 0.001458 0.001949 0.002626 0.003651
2025-01-26 0.000627 0.000815 0.001060 0.001410 0.001907 0.002600 0.003668
2025-02-02 0.000613 0.000804 0.001057 0.001423 0.001950 0.002697 0.003872
2025-02-09 0.000591 0.000781 0.001037 0.001410 0.001955 0.002739 0.003993
2025-02-16 0.000578 0.000772 0.001034 0.001422 0.001996 0.002837 0.004204
2025-02-23 0.000555 0.000746 0.001007 0.001398 0.001983 0.002851 0.004283
2025-03-02 0.000536 0.000727 0.000989 0.001385 0.001986 0.002888 0.004401
2025-03-09 0.000520 0.000709 0.000973 0.001375 0.001992 0.002931 0.004530
2025-03-16 0.000507 0.000697 0.000964 0.001375 0.002013 0.002997 0.004699
2025-03-23 0.000492 0.000680 0.000947 0.001363 0.002014 0.003031 0.004818